The Conspiracy Guy (24 May 2020) made its debut with the application of scientific reasoning to the alternative hypotheses, The Coronavirus Phenomenon: Medical Emergency or Political Pandemic?, where the probability of the available evidence on the hypothesis it was real is very low, while the probability of the evidence on the hypothesis it was fake is very high. One hypothesis is preferable to another when its likelihood–the probability of the evidence, if that hypothesis were true–is higher than any available alternative, which turns out to be the case here.